Skip to content

Commodity Markets Outlook, April 2017

Prices for most industrial commodities strengthened further in the first quarter (q/q), while global agricultural prices remained broadly stable. Crude oil prices are forecast to rise to an average of $55 per barrel (bbl) in 2017 from $43/ bbl in 2016. The oil forecast is unchanged since October 2016 and reflects balancing forces: upward pressure on prices from production cuts agreed by Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and non-OPEC producing countries, and downward pressure from persistently high stocks, supported by the faster-than-expected rebound of the U.S. shale oil industry. Metals prices are projected to increase 16 percent as a result of strong demand in China and various supply constraints, including labor strikes and contractual disputes in the case of copper, and environmental and export policies for nickel. Agricultural commodity prices, which gained 1 percent in the first quarter, are anticipated to remain broadly stable in 2017, with moderate increases in oils and meals and raw materials offset by declines in grains and beverages.

Data Resources (1)

Data Resource Preview - Commodity Markets Outlook, April 2017

Additional Info

Field Value
Document type Reports, journal articles, and research papers (including theses and dissertations)
Language of document
  • English
  • Agriculture
  • Energy
  • Minerals and mineral products
  • Oil
Geographic area (spatial range)
  • Cambodia
  • Lao People's Democratic Republic
  • Myanmar
  • Thailand
  • Viet Nam
Copyright Yes
Access and use constraints

Attribution—Please cite the work as follows: World Bank Group. 2017. Commodity Markets Outlook, April. World Bank, Washington, DC. License: Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 3.0 IGO

Translations—If you create a translation of this work, please add the following disclaimer along with the attribution: is translation was not created by the World Bank and should not be considered an o cial World Bank translation. e World Bank shall not be liable for any content or error in this translation.

Adaptations—If you create an adaptation of this work, please add the following disclaimer along with the attribution: is is an adaptation of an original work by the World Bank. Views and opinions expressed in the adaptation are the sole responsibility of the author or authors of the adaptation and are not endorsed by the World Bank.

Version / Edition 2017
License CC-BY-3.0-IGO

All queries on rights and licenses should be addressed to the Publishing and Knowledge Division, World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA; fax: 202-522-2625; e-mail:

Author (corporate) The World Bank
Publication place Washington DC, USA
Publisher The World Bank Group
Publication date 2017
Pagination 72
Keywords commodities
Date uploaded October 5, 2017, 17:51 (UTC)
Date modified October 10, 2017, 08:44 (UTC)